It's certainly the case that a lot of teams "lift" for Melbourne, Easts etc, and their success in spite of that is impressive. We're not going to take anyone by surprise next year.
But for me the big regression predictors are stuff like:
- The team had a long run of roster cohesion, no major injuries, and they won heaps of games in that time.
- Notably brilliant form over a fairly long range of games - not just winning games but they're good, but playing out of their skins.
- Dominant record in very close games, especially one score game (eg the Raiders going 10-1 in close games in 2025). We were 6-4 regular season then 7-5 when you add in finals, and a couple of those close wins were games we had well in hand and slacked off near the end.
- Having to replace a key spine player.
I don't think any of those apply to us. We had a **** injury run. Our longest winning streak was 4. I doubt there would be many teams fielding starting 19's that were more different than ours in Round 1 and the Grand Final. About as much went wrong as could go wrong and look what they achieved. How could I not believe?
We are still yet to see a single game where we start Crossland, Brown, Sharpe & Ponga, with Jacob Saifiti & Trey Mooney starting at prop, with a strong bench rotation of Cody Hopwood and whoever out of Crouch, Niukore, McEwen, or whoever else you might wish to name coming on to help us keep the foot down. And then elite back rowers on both edges no matter who we name, all strike weapons, all additive yardage workers (most teams do not have this).
Same team but instead of a pack full of question marks, I reckon we will have one of the best packs in the comp overall. Same team but either keeping the yardage battle even or winning it a lot more often than not. Let's. ****ing. Go. Can't wait.