Itās hard with Penrith because weāre so used to them looking almost unbeatable all year, but theyāve had that extra gear come finals time for a while too. The question is whether they can still access said gear without Kenny & Yeo.
Itās an interesting year, I see the top 3 as being evenly matched but all in that tier of side where if you take them back in time to 2023 or 2024 they lose a prelim vs the Penrith or Brisbane/Melbourne team pretty convincingly⦠no one has looked like an unbackable premiership favourite since Penrith in the first six weeks or so.
Why Penrith can win: Experience, players who know how to get it done at the highest level, Cleary the most proven ābig gameā player active in the NRL right now.
Why Penrith canāt win: Roster just doesnāt look as good on paper as the ones that won comps; Yeo is arguably as big a reason as Cleary for them winning comps & is essentially part of their spine, and wonāt be playing/will be playing with one arm if he does; drop from Mitch Kenny to Freddie Lussick is massive because Lussick is kind of terrible, Kenny may also not be back.
Why the Wahs can win: One of the strongest, deepest middle forward rotations weāve ever seen with multiple hookers who are elite at getting a team rolling; strong mix of strike players and workhorses in the three quarter line; very well-coached and consistent.
Why the Wahs canāt win: Would maybe be the worst spine of the NRL era to win a premiership irrespective of who ends up lining up for them; can be questioned whether a team as reliant on dominating the arm wrestle consistently every week, with spine players who play a role within a pretty rigid system, has an extra gear to get to.
Why the Roosters can win: Really well-balanced team with an elite spine, strong three quarter line and very good, deep pack led by the best ball runner of all the props across the top three sides (tends to be a winning archetype eg Haas, Fifita, Taumalolo, Burgess brothers). Looks the most like a premiership winning side on paper.
Why the Roosters canāt win: They look like a premiership winning side on paper all the time and keep not doing it; yet to kick the habit where they randomly lay an egg for an entire half of footy; easily the most error prone top three side; team with the most defensive weaknesses of the three.